Zero to One (by Peter Thiel) Summary - Chapter 6

The following is a summary of Zero to One: Notes on Startups or How to Build the Future. I do not claim to own any of the book's original work, the following is simply a bulleted summarization with a few direct quotes. All copyrights and trademarks belong to their respective owners. Chapter 6 - You are not a Lottery Ticket:
  • Does success in business come from luck or skill?
    • If success were determined by luck single people could not create multiple billion dollar companies (Elon Musk, Steve Jobs, etc.)
    • No way to actually conclude this unless we start the same businesses in multiple worlds (impossible)
    • Thiel says: If everything is up to luck, why try to improve your chances (by reading this book).
  • Can you control your future?
    • Future is treatable as definite (can understand it and work to shape it)
      • Can determine the best thing to do and do it
      • Thiel strongly advocates that this mindset is needed for success as an entrepreneur
    • Can also think of it is indefinite and ruled by randomness
      • This thinking explains what’s wrong with the world
      • No plans means nothing to carry out (always preparing for nothing in particular)
      • Well-roundedness (pursuing many things to compensate for an unknown future)
    • Indefinitism - Thiel takes this part of this chapter to examine indefiniteness in many aspects of current society (finance, politics, philosophy, life, and more)
      • In finance:
        • People accrue money and give it to large banks because they don’t know what to do with it
        • Banks give it to a portfolio of investors because they don’t know what to do with it
        • Investors diversify it in companies because they don’t know what to do with it
        • Companies try to increase share price, when they do they buy back shares or issue dividends and the cycle repeats
      • Indefinitism prefers optionality; thus favoring the accumulation of cash
      • In reality Thiel thinks money should be definite, or used as a means to an end (aka a start of something new)
    • “Making small changes to things that already exist might lead you to a local maximum, but it won’t help you find the global maximum.
    • The Return of Design
      • I’ve excluded examples until now, but I feel this one is important enough to include
        • Steve Job’s iDevices are greatly designed, but Apple was designed better
        • Jobs saw you can change the world with careful planning
        • Introduced the iPod in 2001
          • People saw it as a nice, small thing
        • Jobs planned the iPod to be the first in a post PC world
        • Then came iPhone, iPad, etc.
        • Apple is now a 740 billion dollar company (2/15/15)
    • You are not a lottery ticket:
      • A startup is the largest endeavor over which you can have definite mastery. You can have agency not just over your own life, but over a small and important part of the world. It begins by rejecting the unjust tyranny of chance.
  • Main takeaway from this chapter is to be definite in your approach; have a well developed plan and stick to it.
  If you've liked this summary, I highly recommend you get the full book here: Zero to One: Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future < Previous Chapter | Overview | Next Chapter > - Alec Kriebel